CC Letter (long)



The Capitol Corridor Joint Powers Authority, MET-2
800 Madison
Oakland, CA 94607

SUBJ: Recommendation to Deny Solano County’s Present Rail Plan
 
Dear Executive Director:
Solano County has one stop along the Capitol Corridor route and plans to add three more. While Solano County does have the longest stretch without service on the Capitol Corridor route, and does need additional stations, present plans have serious flaws and should be denied by the Capitol Corridor Joint Powers Authority.
 
The present plans were roughed out about a decade ago.  At that time, the cities of Solano along the Capitol Corridor rail line agreed to divide up the pie and decided which cities would receive a new rail station. There has never been complete agreement and Vacaville has never been happy with the plan. Additionally, it appears that Travis Air Force Base had no representation in this process.  

The study to choose “the best sites” for the rail stations was constrained to looking at sites per this prior agreement to give certain cities a commuter rail station and, therefore, failed to adequately consider what was best for ridership numbers.  Since high ridership means success for the rail line and success in terms of meeting the needs of local citizens interested in alternate transit, it would be in the best interest of both The Capitol Corridor Line and the citizens of Solano County to reconsider the current rail plan. 

The enclosed report provides detailed information regarding this situation.  Additionally, please consider visiting www.solanorail.blogspot.com.

Thank you for your consideration.
Sincerely

 



 
SOLANO COUNTY’S RAIL PLAN

The Situation
Solano County has only one commuter rail station, 27 miles from the Davis and 17 miles from Martinez.  It is the most isolated station on the Capitol Corridor.  Solano County plans to add three more commuter rail stations to fill in those gaps.

STA’s Plan
Currently the plan is to build three stations, one that is intended to be shared by Fairfield, Vacaville and Travis AFB (Air Force Base) , one near Benicia, and one in Dixon.  Analysis of each site is as follows:
  • Dixon
At ~ $1.5M, it is the cheapest site to build and is on an existing local bus route. Dixon grew 54% in the 1990’s and has a population profile (33% Hispanic) known to increase ridership. It also promotes development in the rural north part of the county, helping to balance the jobs/housing mix and reduce commutes.

·       Fairfield-Vacaville
While intended to serve Vacaville, Fairfield, and Travis AFB, it is not convenient to any of them.  On 9/11, Peabody Rd and Air Base Pkwy were backed up 1/2 mile due to increased security on Travis AFB.  Thus, it would make traffic problems in Solano worse, not better. It also promotes “encroachment” on Travis AFB, which is a security risk and obstacle to the military mission.  Therefore, it heightens risk of closure for this base.

  • Benicia
It is located in a protected wetland, therefore no development can occur near this site, thus limiting ridership growth. The expected ecological damage can be monetized at a high value due to loss of commercial, recreational, and other benefits and the fact that it is critical habitat.  At an estimated cost of$5M, it will cost more to build than the other two proposed sites combined.  A spur line may add commuter service through Napa and into Vallejo, our largest city and a passenger source for this proposed site.  Such service would be cheaper and more environmentally sound than this site.



A Viable Alternative


Independent research exists which was based upon the criteria required by the CCJPA and additional criteria imposed by the Solano Transportation Authority  (STA). 


The Alternate Plan selects sites based on factors likely to improve ridership -- factors such as nearness to population concentrations, access to major employers, access to other regional resources within the county  (facilities such as a David Grant Medical Center, a regional medical facility serving 8 states and cause of regional traffic, therefore providing a potential market of riders for this regional rail service) and access to local bus transit.  It is also based on cost-benefit analysis and risk-analysis, including environmental costs.  It retains the Proposed Plan’s site in Dixon, but moves the Proposed site for Benicia to an Alternate site on the outskirts of Vacaville (in the unincorporated community of Elmira), and moves the Proposed site for Vacaville-Fairfield to an Alternate site within Fairfield, a site which also serves the needs of Travis Air Force Base.

·        Dixon
At approximately $1.5 million, this is the cheapest station to build and it is located on an existing local bus route. Additionally, the combination of local demographics (33% Hispanic) and high population growth (Dixon grew 54% in the 1990’s) fit the findings of a meta-study, which determined that public transit hubs located in rapidly growing areas, as well as areas with a large and growing Latino population, have a proven track record of success, with high ridership numbers. In the existing plan, this site is built last. The Alternate Plan makes it top priority because it is the only sound site in the Existing Plan, requires the least up-front expenditures and fosters growth in an underdeveloped area, thereby promising bonuses in easing county traffic by geographically balancing jobs with housing.

·        Fairfield-Travis AFB
This station would be located on the only bus route that serves Travis.  There are two options:  The rail crossing on East Tabor near Clay Bank Road.  Or the industrial park near where the railroad passes under Airbase Parkway.   Either site can serve both Fairfield and Travis AFB equally well.  Military retirees outside of the county who utilize David Grant Medical Center will boost ridership for this site.  Senior citizens, particularly if they have health problems, often can no longer drive a car and use public transit instead. 

      The opportunity cost for this site, due to its nearness to the existing station, is the creation of one ‘skip stop’ with reduced (50%) service. However, Solano County’s own ridership study showed that the proposed Fairfield-Vacaville site (4.9 miles from existing station) would ‘steal’ existing ridership, thus reducing need for service.  Overall, creation of a skip stop seems to be a negligible cost compared to the risk of losing Travis Air Force Base -- the county’s single largest employer (with more than 7000 jobs), worth more than $1billion per year -- due to encroachment. According to an article in Air Force Magazine: 'Encroachment has become a part of the base closure debate,' and 'The best way to help military bases [remain open] is for communities to help them solve their problems‘. 

Vacaville
In place of the existing plan’s Benicia Site, the Alternate Plan recommends selecting a site which serves Vacaville.  Vacaville has 88,000 residents versus Benicia’s 26,000. Additionally, Vacaville lacks the growth constraints that box-in Benicia.  Since rail stations are very expensive and geographically fixed capital expenditures, they must be planned with a strong future orientation.  The potential for growth in and around Vacaville clearly exceeds the potential for growth in and around Benicia.  Although the old rail station in Elmira is geographically and excellent site, it may be politically dead.  Vacaville should get the last rail station, allowing time to either overcome present objections to the Elmira site or select a new site.

Summary and Recommendations


The existing plan prioritizes site spacing, thus appearing well placed, but it provides poor service with high financial, environmental and other costs.  In contrast, the Alternate Plan prioritizes factors that promote ridership, thereby providing both good service and economic efficiencies. One of the most important factors that will promote ridership is that this alternate plan places 2 stations in the Fairfield-Vacaville-Travis AFB region.  This area contains roughly half of the total population of the entire county.  When you remove Vallejo and Rio Visto from the equation (because they are not directly on the rail line), this area contains more than 2/3 of population that the Capitol Corridor can reach in Solano County. Additionally, it connects to local transit and existing walkable neighborhoods, thus promoting social equity, and it safeguards both Travis AFB and a protected wetland.

For rail plans generally, the following policies should be applied, thus maximizing efficiency and cost effectiveness:
            Because rail sites are an expensive, long-term investment, emphasis should be on a strong future-oriented analysis. Full potential costs of sites should be considered, including environmental and other damages. Finally, and most importantly criteria must be prioritized to promote ridership:  "Ridership is perhaps the most important single criterion in evaluating the feasibility of commuter rail service. Commuter rail service may have several purposes such as mobility enhancement, highway congestion reduction and air quality improvement. None of these may be attained unless the service attracts sufficient passengers to make an impact. Ridership is also critical to the cost-effectiveness of a new service.“*

Specific recommendations for Solano County Rail Plan include:
 Halt work on sites for Benicia and Vacaville-Fairfield;  Develop plans for Alternate Sites in Vacaville and Fairfield-Travis AFB; and Make the order of priority: Dixon, Fairfield-Travis AFB, then Vacaville.  Building stations in this sequence delays creation of a skip stop, fills service gaps in order from largest to smallest, and minimizes impact on the existing Suisun City station and the Capitol Corridor route.

Popular Posts